IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.5	#56
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.2	#309
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.7	#80

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.8	#34

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.9%	0.9%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.2%	2.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	6.6%	6.9%	0.9%
Top 6 Seed	13.6%	14.0%	4.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	38.4%	39.2%	17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	36.4%	37.2%	16.0%
Average Seed	7.6	7.5	8.5

.500 or above	65.9%	67.1%	34.9%
.500 or above in Conference	45.7%	46.6%	24.5%
Conference Champion	2.9%	3.0%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	7.2%	6.9%	16.7%

First Four	3.6%	3.6%	2.8%
First Round	36.6%	37.5%	15.7%
Second Round	21.1%	21.6%	7.4%
Sweet Sixteen	8.6%	8.8%	1.8%
Elite Eight	3.7%	3.8%	0.6%
Final Four	1.5%	1.5%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
National Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 96.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 3	8 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	12 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 0	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	270	Radford	W	74-55	96%
Nov 28, 2020	145	Temple	W	72-64	79%
Nov 29, 2020	97	South Florida	W	65-61	64%
Dec 03, 2020	276	VMI	W	78-59	96%
Dec 08, 2020	62	Penn St.	W	72-69	62%
Dec 15, 2020	49	Clemson	W	66-63	59%
Dec 19, 2020	327	Coppin St.	W	83-59	98%
Dec 21, 2020	320	Longwood	W	77-54	98%
Dec 29, 2020	43	Miami (FL)	W	70-68	57%
Jan 02, 2021	6	@ Virginia	L	51-61	19%
Jan 05, 2021	26	@ Louisville	L	64-71	28%
Jan 10, 2021	70	Notre Dame	W	71-67	65%
Jan 12, 2021	5	Duke	L	70-74	35%
Jan 17, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	W	72-70	56%
Jan 19, 2021	101	Boston College	W	73-65	74%
Jan 23, 2021	35	@ Syracuse	L	67-72	35%
Jan 26, 2021	70	@ Notre Dame	L	68-70	45%
Jan 30, 2021	6	Virginia	L	54-58	37%
Feb 02, 2021	87	@ Pittsburgh	W	65-64	51%
Feb 06, 2021	43	@ Miami (FL)	L	67-71	37%
Feb 09, 2021	16	Florida St.	L	69-71	44%
Feb 13, 2021	26	Louisville	L	67-68	48%
Feb 16, 2021	23	@ North Carolina	L	68-75	27%
Feb 20, 2021	16	@ Florida St.	L	66-74	26%
Feb 23, 2021	63	Georgia Tech	W	70-67	61%
Feb 27, 2021	103	Wake Forest	W	75-67	75%
Mar 05, 2021	48	@ North Carolina St.	L	69-72	39%
Projected Record						15 - 12	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0		2.9	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	1.1	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0			4.2	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.5	1.6	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0					5.3	3rd
4th											0.0	0.4	1.8	2.8	1.2	0.2	0.0						6.5	4th
5th										0.0	0.3	2.0	3.0	1.5	0.3	0.0							7.0	5th
6th										0.1	1.8	3.5	1.9	0.3	0.0								7.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	1.2	3.5	2.6	0.4	0.0									7.9	7th
8th								0.0	0.8	3.4	3.7	0.7	0.0	0.0									8.7	8th
9th							0.0	0.5	2.9	3.7	1.3	0.0											8.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.0	0.4	2.2	4.1	1.8	0.2												8.6	10th
11th					0.0	0.3	1.9	3.6	2.3	0.3	0.0												8.4	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	1.4	3.3	2.5	0.5	0.0													8.1	12th
13th			0.0	0.2	1.3	2.7	2.1	0.6	0.0														6.9	13th
14th		0.1	0.4	1.1	2.2	1.5	0.5	0.0															5.8	14th
15th	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.0																3.9	15th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.6	4.5	6.2	8.3	9.4	10.7	10.6	10.7	9.2	7.7	6.6	4.7	3.1	1.9	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	94.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	93.5%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
17-3	68.9%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
16-4	38.2%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0
15-5	17.5%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	2.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.5%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.9%	2.9		1.6	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	23.5%	76.5%	1.2		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	32.9%	67.1%	1.2		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	30.0%	70.0%	1.8		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.1%		100.0%	25.4%	74.6%	2.3		0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	1.9%		100.0%	16.3%	83.7%	3.3		0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0												100.0%
15-5	3.1%		100.0%	14.4%	85.6%	4.4		0.1	0.2	0.7	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
14-6	4.7%		99.4%	11.8%	87.6%	5.7		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	1.0	1.1	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.0		99.3%
13-7	6.6%		98.1%	6.5%	91.6%	7.1			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.3	1.5	1.2	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0		0.0			0.1		97.9%
12-8	7.7%		90.9%	4.4%	86.6%	8.3				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.5	1.4	1.0	0.6	0.2					0.7		90.5%
11-9	9.2%		70.9%	2.3%	68.6%	9.4					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.2	1.3	1.4	1.3	0.6	0.1				2.7		70.2%
10-10	10.7%		44.8%	1.3%	43.4%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.2	1.1	0.2	0.0			5.9		44.0%
9-11	10.6%		15.8%	1.1%	14.7%	11.3						0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0		8.9		14.9%
8-12	10.7%		3.7%	0.4%	3.2%	11.8									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.3		3.3%
7-13	9.4%		0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			9.4		0.1%
6-14	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	12.0													0.0					8.2		0.0%
5-15	6.2%																							6.2
4-16	4.5%																							4.5
3-17	2.6%																							2.6
2-18	1.4%																							1.4
1-19	0.5%																							0.5
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		38.4%	3.1%	35.3%	7.6		0.9	1.4	2.1	2.3	3.1	3.9	4.3	4.9	4.5	4.0	3.8	2.7	0.6	0.0	0.0		61.6		36.4%